Friday, 7 November 2008

A prediction about projection...

This morning, news about a tiny projector dropped into my inbox.

To summarise, this is a battery powered projector, perfect for showing movies from your ipod. Great. The author of that article got it right, this is game changing stuff. Very cool.

But I think it is bigger than that.

You see, when the MP3 format first came on the scene, the people rejoiced. "Woo", said Bob, "I can burn a CD with 200 songs". "Amazing", said Esmeralda, "I can FTP this song in just 1 hour!". "Holy crap!", said Justin, "I can make a fortune out of writing a media player". No one (that I knew) said: "Wow, in just a few years we'll have changed the way we listen to music. Oh, it'll be much prettier too." Very few really saw the true potential of this breakthrough. And I think the same is true here.

Right now, we're using desktops and laptops as much as ever. Sure we're using mobiles to access the web, but we're not using them as a replacement. We use them where we wouldn't use a regular computer. With a few improvements, we'll start to see these small projectors converge with mobile devices. Add to the mix the inevitable rise in processing power, and a new breed of device will start to replace the desktop computer, and indeed the laptop. We'll be able to forget about the small screen, and use a projected larger one. Add a futuristic input mechanism, and you'll have a pocket powerhouse.

I'm guessing this is why Google never bothered trying to make a desktop operating system - mobile will be the new desktop.

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